Introduction: The Modern Chapter of a Historic AFC North Rivalry
The Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers rivalry represents one of the most compelling divisional matchups in the AFC North. With both franchises fighting for playoff positioning and divisional supremacy, their recent four-game series has provided football fans with exceptional displays of strategic chess matches, individual brilliance, and dramatic finishes that exemplify what makes AFC North football special.
These matchups have featured dramatic shifts in momentum and team identity, with the Bengals transitioning into an offensive powerhouse behind Joe Burrow while the Steelers maintain their traditional defensive excellence under Mike Tomlin. Each game has contributed significant chapters to this storied rivalry, with statistical anomalies, standout individual performances, and crucial tactical adjustments determining outcomes.
This comprehensive analysis dives deep into the statistical narratives behind these four critical AFC North clashes, examining the key players, coaching decisions, and pivotal moments that have defined this contemporary chapter of the Bengals-Steelers rivalry.
The Evolution of a Storied Rivalry
The Bengals-Steelers rivalry dates back to 1970 when the Bengals joined the AFC Central Division. What began as a geographically convenient divisional placement has evolved into one of football’s most intense and physical rivalries, with both teams separated by just under 300 miles along the Ohio River.
Historical dominance: Historically, the Steelers have held the upper hand with a 68-38 all-time series lead entering the 2024 season. However, the dynamic has shifted considerably in recent years as the Bengals’ organizational renaissance behind Joe Burrow has narrowed the competitive gap.
The rivalry has been marked by several distinct eras:
- 1970s-1980s: Initial competitive balance with both teams enjoying periods of success
- 1990s-2000s: Extended Steelers dominance under Bill Cowher and early Mike Tomlin years
- 2010-2019: Bengals’ competitive resurgence under Marvin Lewis challenged Steelers’ control
- 2020-Present: New-era Bengals led by Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase changing the rivalry’s landscape
“This isn’t just another game on the schedule. When Cincinnati and Pittsburgh meet, you can throw the records out. The physicality and intensity jumps to another level.” — Former Bengals tackle Andrew Whitworth
Key Historical Moments
Before examining our four-game analysis window, it’s worth highlighting pivotal historical moments that have shaped this rivalry’s intense nature:
- January 9, 2016: The infamous playoff game featuring Vontaze Burfict’s hit on Antonio Brown led to last-minute penalties that helped Pittsburgh secure a controversial 18-16 victory
- December 4, 2017: Ryan Shazier’s career-ending spinal injury during a Monday Night Football matchup
- November 8, 2020: Ben Roethlisberger’s final full season victory over Cincinnati (36-10)
- September 26, 2021: Joe Burrow’s first victory against Pittsburgh (24-10), signaling a power shift
These moments have created the emotional backdrop for our comprehensive four-game analysis, which begins with their November 2023 matchup.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
November 26, 2023: Steelers Control the Clock (16-10)
Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
Steelers | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
Bengals | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
This defensive struggle showcased the Steelers’ traditional identity under Mike Tomlin. Pittsburgh dominated time of possession (35:49 to 24:11) while effectively limiting Cincinnati’s explosive offensive capabilities.
Key Statistics:
- Total Yards: Steelers 421, Bengals 222
- First Downs: Steelers 24, Bengals 11
- Third Down Efficiency: Steelers 9/15 (60%), Bengals 4/12 (33%)
- Time of Possession: Steelers 35:49, Bengals 24:11
Standout Performers:
- Kenny Pickett (PIT): 24/33, 278 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT
- Jake Browning (CIN): 19/26, 227 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Najee Harris (PIT): 99 yards on 24 carries
- George Pickens (PIT): 7 receptions, 86 yards, 1 TD
Analysis
This matchup represented a classic Pittsburgh Steelers victory formula — control the clock, win the battle in the trenches, and make just enough offensive plays to secure victory. With Joe Burrow sidelined by a season-ending wrist injury, backup Jake Browning struggled to generate consistent offensive production against Pittsburgh’s aggressive defense.
The Steelers’ defensive front, led by T.J. Watt (2 sacks) and Cameron Heyward, consistently pressured Browning while limiting Cincinnati to just 69 rushing yards. This allowed Pittsburgh to dictate tempo and play style throughout the contest.
Most notably, Kenny Pickett delivered perhaps his most efficient performance of 2023, displaying poise in critical situations and connecting well with George Pickens on intermediate routes that sustained drives. The Steelers converted 60% of their third-down attempts, highlighting their offensive efficiency.
December 23, 2023: Pickens’ Breakout Game (34-11)
Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
Bengals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 |
Steelers | 7 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 34 |
Cincinnati’s season continued to unravel while Pittsburgh strengthened its playoff positioning in this late December matchup. Mason Rudolph replaced an injured Pickett and helped George Pickens deliver a career-defining performance.
Key Statistics:
- Total Yards: Steelers 401, Bengals 222
- Turnovers: Steelers 0, Bengals 3
- Sacks: Steelers Defense 4, Bengals Defense 1
- Explosive Plays (20+ yards): Steelers 6, Bengals 2
Standout Performers:
- Mason Rudolph (PIT): 17/27, 290 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT
- George Pickens (PIT): 4 receptions, 195 yards, 2 TD
- Jake Browning (CIN): 28/42, 335 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT
- Ja’Marr Chase (CIN): 11 receptions, 149 yards, 1 TD
Analysis
This lopsided victory showcased Pittsburgh’s ability to exploit Cincinnati’s injury-depleted secondary. George Pickens demonstrated his game-breaking potential with touchdown receptions of 66 and 86 yards, averaging an astounding 48.8 yards per reception.
The game represented a defensive collapse for Cincinnati, particularly in their ability to limit explosive plays. Mason Rudolph, making his first start of the 2023 season, connected on multiple deep shots while Pittsburgh’s rushing attack maintained balance with 111 yards.
Defensively, Pittsburgh continued its dominance of Jake Browning, forcing three interceptions and generating consistent pressure that disrupted Cincinnati’s timing-based passing concepts. By halftime, Pittsburgh had built a commanding 24-0 lead that effectively ended the competitive phase of the contest.
“We knew they would be vulnerable to vertical concepts given their injury situation in the secondary. George [Pickens] took full advantage and showed what makes him special.” — Steelers QB Mason Rudolph
December 1, 2024: Offensive Fireworks (44-38)
Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
Steelers | 14 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
Bengals | 10 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 44 |
With Joe Burrow healthy and Cincinnati fighting to stay in playoff contention, this early December matchup produced the highest-scoring game in the recent history of this rivalry. Both offenses dominated in a shootout that featured minimal defensive resistance.
Key Statistics:
- Total Yards: Bengals 509, Steelers 486
- Passing Yards: Bengals 358, Steelers 342
- Rushing Yards: Bengals 151, Steelers 144
- Combined Points: 82 (rivalry record)
Standout Performers:
- Joe Burrow (CIN): 31/38, 358 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT
- Kenny Pickett (PIT): 28/41, 342 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
- Ja’Marr Chase (CIN): 11 receptions, 189 yards, 2 TD
- George Pickens (PIT): 8 receptions, 156 yards, 2 TD
Analysis
This anomalous contest represented a significant deviation from the typically defensive-minded battles between these teams. Both offenses executed at peak efficiency, with the teams combining for 995 total yards and 11 touchdowns.
Joe Burrow, fully recovered from his 2023 wrist injury, displayed pinpoint accuracy and exceptional decision-making. His connection with Ja’Marr Chase proved unstoppable as Cincinnati’s offensive line provided clean pockets consistently against Pittsburgh’s normally disruptive pass rush.
Kenny Pickett matched Burrow’s production for much of the game, continuing his development as a downfield passer. George Pickens built upon his breakout 2023 performance against Cincinnati with another multi-touchdown effort.
The difference ultimately came down to red zone efficiency, with Cincinnati converting 5-of-6 red zone trips into touchdowns while Pittsburgh managed 4-of-7. This efficiency differential proved decisive in Cincinnati’s crucial six-point victory.
January 4, 2025: Bengals Control the Clock (19-17)
Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
Bengals | 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 |
Steelers | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
In a complete reversal from their first 2023 meeting, Cincinnati controlled time of possession and ground out a crucial late-season victory that significantly impacted AFC playoff seeding. This defensive struggle featured stellar linebacker play from both teams.
Key Statistics:
- Time of Possession: Bengals 36:42, Steelers 23:18
- Rush Attempts: Bengals 34, Steelers 17
- Third Down Efficiency: Bengals 9/16 (56%), Steelers 4/11 (36%)
- Total First Downs: Bengals 24, Steelers 15
Standout Performers:
- Joe Mixon (CIN): 128 yards on 26 carries, 1 TD
- T.J. Watt (PIT): 2 sacks, 4 QB hits, 1 forced fumble
- Logan Wilson (CIN): 12 tackles, 1 interception
- Evan McPherson (CIN): 4/4 field goals, including 52-yard game-winner
Analysis
Cincinnati’s ability to control tempo through an efficient ground game represented their most significant tactical adjustment in this four-game series. Joe Mixon’s physical running style wore down Pittsburgh’s front seven, particularly in the second half when Cincinnati possessed the ball for over 21 minutes.
Defensively, the Bengals contained Pittsburgh’s rushing attack, forcing Kenny Pickett into obvious passing situations where defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo could deploy creative pressure packages. Logan Wilson’s range and diagnostic abilities were on full display as he effectively neutralized Pittsburgh’s screen game and underneath passing concepts.
The game-deciding sequence came late in the fourth quarter when Joe Burrow engineered a methodical 11-play, 47-yard drive that consumed 6:24 off the clock and culminated in Evan McPherson’s game-winning 52-yard field goal with 0:38 remaining.
Head-to-Head Matchup Analysis
Quarterback Battle Dynamics
The quarterback contrast between these teams reflects their organizational philosophies, with Cincinnati building around Burrow’s elite passing accuracy and Pittsburgh emphasizing Pickett’s development within a more conservative system.
Joe Burrow
Game | Comp/Att | Yards | TD | INT | Rating |
Nov 26, 2023 | DNP (Injury) | – | – | – | – |
Dec 23, 2023 | DNP (Injury) | – | – | – | – |
Dec 1, 2024 | 31/38 | 358 | 4 | 0 | 142.3 |
Jan 4, 2025 | 22/30 | 245 | 1 | 0 | 108.2 |
2-Game Avg | 26.5/34 | 301.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 125.3 |
Key Insights:
- Burrow’s absence from the first two games underscores his importance to Cincinnati’s offensive capabilities
- Against Pittsburgh in 2024-25, Burrow maintained exceptional efficiency (77.9% completion rate)
- Zero interceptions in both matchups demonstrates his decision-making improvement against complex Pittsburgh coverages
- Particularly effective on third downs, converting 65% when targeting middle-of-field against Pittsburgh’s zone concepts
Kenny Pickett
Game | Comp/Att | Yards | TD | INT | Rating |
Nov 26, 2023 | 24/33 | 278 | 1 | 0 | 101.2 |
Dec 23, 2023 | DNP (Injury) | – | – | – | – |
Dec 1, 2024 | 28/41 | 342 | 3 | 1 | 104.6 |
Jan 4, 2025 | 19/32 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 75.3 |
3-Game Avg | 23.7/35.3 | 279 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 93.7 |
Key Insights:
- Pickett’s statistical improvement from 2023 to 2024 demonstrates his development
- Struggles against Cincinnati’s disguised coverage packages (4 of his 6 interceptions in 2024 came against zone-match concepts)
- Shows significant improvement in clean-pocket scenarios versus pressured situations
- Deep ball accuracy (20+ yards) improved from 32% in 2023 to 46% in 2024
Ground Game Tactics
Both teams employed contrasting rushing philosophies, with Pittsburgh utilizing a committee approach while Cincinnati increasingly relied on Joe Mixon’s bell-cow capabilities.
Rushing Leaders
Player | Team | Carries | Yards | Avg | TD |
Joe Mixon | CIN | 59 | 274 | 4.6 | 2 |
Najee Harris | PIT | 66 | 284 | 4.3 | 3 |
Chase Brown | CIN | 22 | 107 | 4.9 | 1 |
Jaylen Warren | PIT | 30 | 156 | 5.2 | 1 |
Rushing Stats Overview
Cincinnati Rushing Approach:
- Increased commitment to establishing the run in their two 2024-25 victories
- 60% success rate on power-concept runs (highest against Pittsburgh since 2015)
- Improved offensive line metrics: 2.6 yards before contact in 2024 vs 1.8 yards in 2023
- Chase Brown emerged as an effective change-of-pace option, particularly on outside zone concepts
Pittsburgh Rushing Approach:
- Maintained relative consistency in approach across all four games
- Harris handled 69% of RB carries, though Warren’s efficiency (5.2 YPC) suggests possible underutilization
- Most effective running between the tackles (5.1 YPC) versus outside concepts (3.7 YPC)
- Reduced effectiveness in 2024 games correlates with Cincinnati’s improved defensive line personnel
“We’ve committed to establishing physical dominance up front. When Joe [Mixon] gets 20+ carries, that typically means we’re controlling the line of scrimmage and the clock.” — Bengals Head Coach Zac Taylor
Elite Pass Catchers’ Impact
The receiver talent in these matchups represents some of the NFL’s elite, with Cincinnati’s trio of Chase, Higgins, and Boyd competing against Pittsburgh’s emerging stars Pickens and Austin.
Top Receivers
Player | Team | Receptions | Yards | Avg | TD |
Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | 24 | 367 | 15.3 | 3 |
George Pickens | PIT | 21 | 462 | 22.0 | 5 |
Tee Higgins | CIN | 16 | 211 | 13.2 | 1 |
Calvin Austin III | PIT | 12 | 184 | 15.3 | 1 |
Tyler Boyd | CIN | 11 | 97 | 8.8 | 0 |
Receiving Stats Overview
Cincinnati Receiving Corps:
- Chase dominated target share (32% of team targets) across the two games he played
- Improved success against Pittsburgh’s man coverage (76% completion rate vs. 61% in 2022)
- Slot production decreased significantly without Boyd’s typical underneath productivity
- Receiving corps generated 7.2 yards after catch per reception, highest against Pittsburgh in this four-game stretch
Pittsburgh Receiving Corps:
- Pickens emerged as Cincinnati’s primary defensive focus, drawing double coverage on 34% of routes
- Austin’s speed element created consistent spacing issues for Cincinnati’s zone coverage shells
- Tight end production limited (combined 11 catches for 87 yards across four games)
- Improved performance against man coverage concepts (+22% completion percentage vs. man in 2024 compared to 2023)
Critical Matchup: Ja’Marr Chase vs. Pittsburgh Secondary
Chase’s dominance against Pittsburgh’s coverage schemes represents a significant statistical anomaly in this rivalry. His per-game averages against Pittsburgh (12 catches, 183.5 yards, 1.5 TD) dramatically exceed his already impressive career averages.
Defensive Game-Changers
The defensive battle has defined this rivalry historically, and despite some offensive explosions, key defensive playmakers continued to impact outcomes significantly.
Key Defensive Players
Player | Team | Tackles | Sacks | TFL | INT | PD | FF |
T.J. Watt | PIT | 27 | 6.0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Logan Wilson | CIN | 34 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Minkah Fitzpatrick | PIT | 22 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Sam Hubbard | CIN | 18 | 3.5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Alex Highsmith | PIT | 16 | 3.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Germaine Pratt | CIN | 29 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Defensive Stats Overview
Cincinnati Defensive Approach:
- Improved run defense in 2024-25 matchups (allowed 3.7 YPC vs 4.8 YPC in 2023)
- Increased blitz frequency against Pickett (32% in 2024 vs 22% in 2023) with improved pressure rate
- Secondary improvements reduced Pittsburgh’s explosive play rate by 39% year-over-year
- Third down defense improved dramatically (allowed 37% conversion in 2024 vs 57% in 2023)
Pittsburgh Defensive Approach:
- Continued reliance on front-four pressure without heavy blitzing (24% blitz rate)
- Watt’s individual dominance (6 sacks, 12 QB hits, 3 forced fumbles across four games)
- Coverage shell adjustments from primarily zone (68% in 2023) to increased man coverage (47% in 2024)
- Red zone defense remained elite (53.8% TD rate allowed, 4th best in NFL in this span)
Statistical Defensive Turning Point: Cincinnati’s run defense improvement correlated directly with their 2024 success against Pittsburgh, limiting the Steelers to just 3.7 yards per carry in their two victories.
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Strategic Coaching Elements
The chess match between Pittsburgh’s Mike Tomlin and Cincinnati’s Zac Taylor provides fascinating tactical contrasts that have evolved throughout this four-game series.
Key Coaches
Mike Tomlin (Pittsburgh):
- 17th season with Pittsburgh during this analysis window
- 20-8 career record against Cincinnati entering 2023
- Defensive background continues to influence Pittsburgh’s identity
- Known for adaptability and maintaining competitive teams regardless of personnel
Zac Taylor (Cincinnati):
- 5th season with Cincinnati during this analysis window
- 3-7 record against Pittsburgh entering 2023
- Offensive innovation increasingly evident in game planning
- Developing reputation for analytical fourth-down decision making
Coaching Strategies
Game Management Contrasts:
- Fourth Down Decisions: Taylor significantly more aggressive (10 attempts across 4 games vs. Tomlin’s 4)
- Challenge Success Rate: Tomlin 2/2 (100%), Taylor 1/4 (25%)
- Second Half Adjustments: Cincinnati outscored Pittsburgh 44-30 in second halves across four games
- Time Management: Pittsburgh averaged 31:52 possession in victories, Cincinnati averaged 34:11 in their wins
Tactical Evolutions:
- Pittsburgh increasingly utilized pre-snap motion (47% of plays in 2024 vs. 28% in 2023)
- Cincinnati’s defensive pressure packages became more disguised and effective in 2024
- Both teams showed significant situational tendencies shifts from 2023 to 2024
- Cincinnati’s red zone play-calling diversity increased substantially in 2024
PFF Insights: Beyond Box Scores
Pro Football Focus grades provide deeper context beyond traditional statistics, highlighting performance nuances that box scores might miss.
Advanced Metrics Overview
Offensive Line Performance:
- Cincinnati’s pass-blocking efficiency improved from 87.4 (2023) to 92.1 (2024)
- Pittsburgh’s run-blocking grade (74.2) significantly outpaced their pass protection grade (65.8)
- Cincinnati’s interior OL struggled most against Pittsburgh’s defensive front (58.3 PFF grade)
- Pittsburgh’s tackle play declined from 2023 (73.6) to 2024 (66.2) in this matchup
Coverage Performance:
- Pittsburgh’s Minkah Fitzpatrick: 84.7 coverage grade (highest among all players in these matchups)
- Cincinnati’s zone coverage concepts: 76.2 grade (2024) vs. 61.5 grade (2023)
- Pittsburgh cornerbacks allowed 1.54 yards per coverage snap (highest against Cincinnati since 2019)
- Cincinnati’s improved slot coverage: 42.1 passer rating allowed in 2024 (vs. 110.3 in 2023)
Player Efficiency Ratings
Player | Team | Position | PFF Grade | Key Metric |
Joe Burrow | CIN | QB | 91.4 | 8.3 yards per attempt |
T.J. Watt | PIT | EDGE | 93.2 | 25.6% pass rush win rate |
Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | WR | 88.7 | 3.12 yards per route run |
Cameron Heyward | PIT | DL | 86.4 | 12.3% run stop rate |
Joe Mixon | CIN | RB | 82.6 | 3.4 yards after contact/attempt |
Minkah Fitzpatrick | PIT | S | 84.7 | 23.5% forced incompletion rate |
Statistical Turning Points
Across these four games, several critical statistical trends emerge that directly correlated with victory:
Key Turning Points
- Time of Possession Dominance
- Impact: Team winning time of possession won all four games
- Critical Threshold: 33+ minutes of possession resulted in victory in every matchup
- Strategic Implication: Ball control remains paramount in this physical rivalry
- Third Down Efficiency Gap
- Impact: Team with higher third-down conversion rate won all four games
- Average Differential: +24.5% conversion rate for victorious team
- Strategic Implication: Sustaining drives crucial for momentum in this matchup
- Explosive Play Advantage
- Impact: Team with more 20+ yard plays won three of four games
- Threshold: 5+ explosive plays correlated with victory in each instance
- Strategic Implication: Despite physical nature, big plays remain decisive
- Turnover Margin
- Impact: Team winning turnover battle won three of four games
- Critical Context: Cincinnati’s only win with negative turnover margin came with +12:24 time of possession advantage
- Strategic Implication: Ball security remains foundational to success
- Quarterback Pressure Rate
- Impact: Team generating higher pressure percentage won three of four games
- Pressure Impact: QBs under pressure completed just 41.2% of passes vs. 74.6% from clean pocket
- Strategic Implication: Defensive front play continues defining this rivalry
Conclusion: The State of a Rivalry Reborn
This four-game analysis window captures a fascinating transitional period in the Bengals-Steelers rivalry. Pittsburgh maintained its traditional identity built on physicality and defensive excellence while adapting to personnel changes. Meanwhile, Cincinnati continued its organizational ascension behind Joe Burrow’s elite passing ability while developing complementary defensive improvements.
The statistical narratives reveal several key conclusions:
- Cincinnati’s Burrow-Era Impact: The Bengals’ 2-2 record in this stretch (with both wins coming with Burrow healthy) suggests a shifting competitive balance after decades of Pittsburgh dominance.
- Contrasting Offensive Approaches: Pittsburgh’s methodical, possession-based attack (30:45 average time of possession) versus Cincinnati’s explosive, efficiency-focused system (5.9 yards per play) represents a fascinating stylistic clash.
- Defensive Evolution: Both defenses showed significant tactical adjustments from 2023 to 2024, with Cincinnati’s improvements in run defense and third-down efficiency particularly notable.
- Individual Starpower: The individual brilliance of players like Chase, Pickens, Watt, and Burrow repeatedly transcended scheme and situation to deliver game-changing moments.
- Rivalry Renewal: The intensity, physicality, and competitive balance demonstrated across these four games suggests this rivalry enters 2025 as one of the NFL’s most compelling divisional matchups.
As both franchises continue building around their established cores, the tactical chess match between these coaching staffs and the individual brilliance of their star players promises to deliver memorable AFC North battles for years to come.
FAQs
Q: Who leads the all-time series between the Bengals and Steelers? A: Entering the 2024 season, the Steelers maintained a significant historical advantage at 68-38. However, the Bengals have closed the gap in recent years, particularly since Joe Burrow’s arrival.
Q: Which player recorded the most touchdowns in these four games? A: George Pickens led all players with 5 receiving touchdowns across the four-game analysis window, narrowly edging Ja’Marr Chase’s 3 touchdowns.
Q: What was the average point total across these four games? A: The average combined score was 33.5 points, though this was heavily influenced by the 82-point offensive explosion in their December 2024 matchup. Removing that outlier, the average combined score was 22 points.
Q: How did Joe Burrow’s presence impact Cincinnati’s offensive production? A: With Burrow, Cincinnati averaged 31.5 points and 436 yards per game. Without him, they averaged just 10.5 points and 222 yards per game against Pittsburgh.
Q: Which defensive player had the greatest statistical impact in these matchups? A: T.J. Watt’s disruptive presence (6 sacks, 9 TFLs, 3 forced fumbles) generated the most significant individual defensive impact across the four-game span.
Q: How did possession impact outcomes in these games? A: Time of possession proved decisive, with the team winning the possession battle winning all four games. The average time of possession for victorious teams was 35:29 (compared to 24:31 for losing teams).